Northern Kentucky
W-L: ( 0- 3) PR = 87.6661Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H North Carolina ACC (21- 4, 95.2) 0- 11 303 H Louisville ACC (21- 7, 93.8) 6- 10 313 A Northwestern B10 (13-15, 94.3) 1- 16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H North Carolina 0-11 -11 -8 - -3.43
303 H Louisville 6-10 -4 -6 + 2.13
313 A Northwestern 1-16 -15 -7 --- -8.32
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Northwestern 1-16 -15 -7 --- -8.32 213 H North Carolina 0-11 -11 -8 - -3.43 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Louisville 6-10 -4 -6 + 2.13 |
Northern Kentucky Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binghamton | Binghamton | Binghamton | ||
| Bryant | Northern Kentucky | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Kentucky | |
| Maine | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Albany | Albany | Albany | ||
| UMBC | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Charlotte | Charlotte | Charlotte | ||
| East Carolina | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Florida Atlantic | Florida Atlantic | Florida Atlantic | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Memphis | |
| North Texas | North Texas | North Texas | ||
| South Florida | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | ||
| UAB | UAB | UAB | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Wichita State | Wichita State | Wichita State | ||
| Boston College | Boston College | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boston College | |
| California | California | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | California | |
| Clemson | Clemson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Clemson | |
| Duke | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Florida State | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| NC State | NC State | NC State | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stanford | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Virginia | |
| Austin Peay | Austin Peay | Austin Peay | ||
| Bellarmine | Bellarmine | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bellarmine | |
| Central Arkansas | Central Arkansas | Central Arkansas | ||
| Eastern Kentucky | Eastern Kentucky | Eastern Kentucky | ||
| Florida Gulf Coast | Florida Gulf Coast | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida Gulf Coast | |
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | Jacksonville | ||
| Lipscomb | Lipscomb | Lipscomb | ||
| North Alabama | North Alabama | North Alabama | ||
| North Florida | North Florida | North Florida | ||
| Queens University | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Stetson | Stetson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stetson | |
| West Georgia | West Georgia | West Georgia | ||
| Dayton | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Fordham | Fordham | Fordham | ||
| George Mason | George Mason | George Mason | ||
| George Washington | George Washington | George Washington | ||
| Loyola Chicago | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Rhode Island | Rhode Island | Rhode Island | ||
| Saint Joseph's | Saint Joseph's | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Saint Joseph's | |
| Saint Louis | Saint Louis | Saint Louis | ||
| St. Bonaventure | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Butler | Butler | Butler | ||
| Creighton | Creighton | Creighton | ||
| DePaul | DePaul | DePaul | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Providence | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Seton Hall | Seton Hall | Seton Hall | ||
| St. John's | St. John's | St. John's | ||
| UConn | UConn | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UConn | |
| Villanova | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Idaho State | Idaho State | Idaho State | ||
| Montana | Montana | Montana | ||
| Northern Colorado | Northern Colorado | Northern Colorado | ||
| Portland State | Portland State | Portland State | ||
| Sacramento State | Sacramento State | Sacramento State | ||
| Weber State | Weber State | Weber State | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Illinois | |
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan State | Michigan State | Michigan State | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ohio State | |
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| Washington | Washington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wisconsin | |
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona State | Arizona State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arizona State | |
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa State | Iowa State | Iowa State | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Oklahoma State | Oklahoma State | Oklahoma State | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | UCF | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | UCF | |
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| Charleston Southern | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Gardner-Webb | Gardner-Webb | Gardner-Webb | ||
| Longwood | Longwood | Longwood | ||
| Presbyterian | Presbyterian | Presbyterian | ||
| Radford | Radford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Radford | |
| USC Upstate | USC Upstate | USC Upstate | ||
| Winthrop | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Cal State Fullerton | Cal State Fullerton | Cal State Fullerton | ||
| Cal State Northridge | Cal State Northridge | Cal State Northridge | ||
| Cal Poly | Cal Poly | Cal Poly | ||
| Cal State Bakersfield | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Hawai'i | Hawai'i | Hawai'i | ||
| Long Beach State | Long Beach State | Long Beach State | ||
| UC Davis | UC Davis | UC Davis | ||
| UC Riverside | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| UC Santa Barbara | UC Santa Barbara | UC Santa Barbara | ||
| UC San Diego | UC San Diego | UC San Diego | ||
| Campbell | Campbell | Campbell | ||
| Charleston | Charleston | Charleston | ||
| Drexel | Drexel | Drexel | ||
| Elon | Northern Kentucky | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Kentucky | |
| Hampton | Hampton | Hampton | ||
| Hofstra | Hofstra | Hofstra | ||
| Monmouth | Monmouth | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Monmouth | |
| North Carolina A&T | North Carolina A&T | North Carolina A&T | ||
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stony Brook | |
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| UNC Wilmington | UNC Wilmington | UNC Wilmington | ||
| Delaware | Delaware | Delaware | ||
| FIU | FIU | FIU | ||
| Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State | ||
| Kennesaw State | Northern Kentucky | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Kentucky | |
| Louisiana Tech | Louisiana Tech | Louisiana Tech | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee | ||
| Missouri State | Missouri State | Missouri State | ||
| New Mexico State | New Mexico State | New Mexico State | ||
| Sam Houston | Sam Houston | Sam Houston | ||
| UTEP | UTEP | UTEP | ||
| Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Western Kentucky | |
| Detroit Mercy | Northern Kentucky | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Kentucky | |
| Green Bay | Green Bay | Green Bay | ||
| IUPUI | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Oakland | Oakland | Oakland | ||
| Robert Morris | Robert Morris | Robert Morris | ||
| Youngstown State | Youngstown State | Youngstown State | ||
| MilNOTEPAD waukee | MilNOTEPAD waukee | MilNOTEPAD waukee | ||
| Brown | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Columbia | Columbia | Columbia | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | Dartmouth | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Princeton | |
| Yale | Yale | Yale | ||
| Canisius | Canisius | Canisius | ||
| Fairfield | Fairfield | Fairfield | ||
| Iona | Iona | Iona | ||
| Manhattan | Manhattan | Manhattan | ||
| Marist | Marist | Marist | ||
| Merrimack | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Mount St. Mary's | Mount St. Mary's | Mount St. Mary's | ||
| Niagara | Niagara | Niagara | ||
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | ||
| Rider | Rider | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rider | |
| Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | ||
| Saint Peter's | Saint Peter's | Saint Peter's | ||
| Siena | Siena | Siena | ||
| Akron | Akron | Akron | ||
| Ball State | Ball State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ball State | |
| Bowling Green | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| Buffalo | Northern Kentucky | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Kentucky | |
| Central Michigan | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Kent State | Kent State | Kent State | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | Massachusetts | ||
| Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) | ||
| Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | Northern Kentucky | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Kentucky | |
| Western Michigan | Western Michigan | Western Michigan | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| North Carolina Central | Northern Kentucky | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Kentucky | |
| Coppin State | Coppin State | Coppin State | ||
| Delaware State | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Maryland Eastern Shore | Maryland Eastern Shore | Maryland Eastern Shore | ||
| Morgan State | Morgan State | Morgan State | ||
| Norfolk State | Norfolk State | Norfolk State | ||
| SC State | SC State | SC State | ||
| Belmont | Belmont | Belmont | ||
| Bradley | Bradley | Bradley | ||
| Drake | Drake | Drake | ||
| Evansville | Evansville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Evansville | |
| Illinois State | Illinois State | Illinois State | ||
| Indiana State | Indiana State | Indiana State | ||
| Murray State | Murray State | Murray State | ||
| Northern Iowa | Northern Iowa | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Iowa | |
| Southern Illinois | Southern Illinois | Southern Illinois | ||
| UIC | UIC | UIC | ||
| Valparaiso | Valparaiso | Valparaiso | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado State | Colorado State | Colorado State | ||
| Fresno State | Fresno State | Fresno State | ||
| Grand Canyon | Grand Canyon | Grand Canyon | ||
| Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Diego State | San Diego State | San Diego State | ||
| San José State | San José State | San José State | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah State | Utah State | Utah State | ||
| Eastern Illinois | Eastern Illinois | Eastern Illinois | ||
| Lindenwood | Lindenwood | Lindenwood | ||
| Morehead State | Morehead State | Morehead State | ||
| Southeast Missouri State | Northern Kentucky | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Kentucky | |
| SIU Edwardsville | SIU Edwardsville | SIU Edwardsville | ||
| Southern Indiana | Southern Indiana | Southern Indiana | ||
| Tennessee Tech | Tennessee Tech | Tennessee Tech | ||
| Tennessee State | Tennessee State | Tennessee State | ||
| UT Martin | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Western Illinois | Western Illinois | Western Illinois | ||
| Central Connecticut | Central Connecticut | Central Connecticut | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Long Island University | Long Island University | Long Island University | ||
| Le Moyne | Le Moyne | Le Moyne | ||
| Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| New Haven | New Haven | New Haven | ||
| Saint Francis | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Stonehill | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Wagner | Wagner | Wagner | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Boston University | Boston University | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Boston University | |
| Bucknell | Bucknell | Bucknell | ||
| Colgate | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Lafayette | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Lehigh | Lehigh | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lehigh | |
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arkansas | |
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Georgia | |
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Mississippi State | Mississippi State | Mississippi State | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Missouri | |
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| South Carolina | South Carolina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South Carolina | |
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas A&M | |
| Mercer | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Chattanooga | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Furman | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Samford | Samford | Samford | ||
| UNC Greensboro | UNC Greensboro | UNC Greensboro | ||
| Western Carolina | Western Carolina | Western Carolina | ||
| Wofford | Wofford | Wofford | ||
| East Texas A&M | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Houston Christian | Houston Christian | Houston Christian | ||
| Incarnate Word | Incarnate Word | Incarnate Word | ||
| Lamar | Lamar | Lamar | ||
| McNeese | McNeese | McNeese | ||
| Nicholls | Nicholls | Nicholls | ||
| Northwestern State | Northwestern State | Northwestern State | ||
| SE Louisiana | SE Louisiana | SE Louisiana | ||
| Stephen F. Austin | Stephen F. Austin | Stephen F. Austin | ||
| Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | Northern Kentucky | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Kentucky | |
| Alabama A&M | Alabama A&M | Alabama A&M | ||
| Alabama State | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Alcorn State | Alcorn State | Alcorn State | ||
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Bethune-Cookman | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Florida A&M | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Grambling | Grambling | Grambling | ||
| Jackson State | Jackson State | Jackson State | ||
| Mississippi Valley State | Mississippi Valley State | Mississippi Valley State | ||
| Prairie View A&M | Prairie View A&M | Prairie View A&M | ||
| Southern | Southern | Southern | ||
| Texas Southern | Texas Southern | Texas Southern | ||
| Kansas City | Kansas City | Kansas City | ||
| North Dakota State | North Dakota State | North Dakota State | ||
| North Dakota | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Omaha | Omaha | Omaha | ||
| South Dakota State | South Dakota State | South Dakota State | ||
| South Dakota | South Dakota | South Dakota | ||
| St. Thomas-Minnesota | St. Thomas-Minnesota | St. Thomas-Minnesota | ||
| App State | App State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | App State | |
| Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Coastal Carolina | |
| Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern | ||
| Georgia State | Georgia State | Georgia State | ||
| James Madison | James Madison | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | James Madison | |
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Southern Miss | Southern Miss | Southern Miss | ||
| South Alabama | South Alabama | South Alabama | ||
| Texas State | Texas State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas State | |
| Troy | Troy | Troy | ||
| UL Monroe | UL Monroe | UL Monroe | ||
| Abilene Christian | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| California Baptist | California Baptist | California Baptist | ||
| Southern Utah | Southern Utah | Southern Utah | ||
| Tarleton State | Tarleton State | Tarleton State | ||
| UT Arlington | UT Arlington | UT Arlington | ||
| Utah Tech | Northern Kentucky | Northern Kentucky | ||
| Utah Valley | Utah Valley | Utah Valley | ||
| Loyola Marymount | Loyola Marymount | Loyola Marymount | ||
| Oregon State | Oregon State | Oregon State | ||
| Pacific | Pacific | Pacific | ||
| Saint Mary's | Saint Mary's | Saint Mary's | ||
| San Diego | San Diego | San Diego | ||
| Santa Clara | Santa Clara | Santa Clara | ||
| Seattle U | Seattle U | Seattle U |
PowerWise = 39
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.18
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H North Carolina (21- 4, 95.2) 0-11 -4.65 10.93 -0.01 4.73 -11.01
0 H Louisville (21- 7, 93.8) 6-10 -6.10 9.48 -0.01 4.73 -14.43
0 A Northwestern (13-15, 94.3) 1-16 -5.56 10.01 0.01 4.73 -13.12
------
-38.56
|
winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -38.5572
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------